Market Commentary: Strong Earnings and Employment Report Bring Good News for the U.S. Economy
After a couple weak monthly reports, U.S. employment roared back in October. The U.S. created 531,000 new jobs, beating expectations for 412,500. August and September were both revised higher by more than 100,000 jobs. Private payroll increased 604,000 while government payrolls shrank 73,00 …
Market Commentary: Supply Issues and Delta Variant Slow Economic Growth to 2%
U.S. GDP grew at an annualized pace of just 2% last quarter, a marked slowdown from last quarter’s 6.7% (Figure 1). Contracted auto production sliced around 2% off growth, and concerns over the Delta variant slowed demand and the return of workers to the labor force. Third quarter growth d …
Market Commentary: Amid Strong Start to Earnings Season, 30% of S&P 500 Will Report This Week
Thirty percent of the S&P 500 will report third quarter earnings this week. Based on earnings already in and analyst expectations, earnings are expected to grow 32.7% compared to last year as corporations continue to bounce back from a COVID-led earnings decline.
Market Commentary: 4.3 Million Quit Their Jobs in August; Rise in Retail Sales Beats Expectations
Three economic data points released last week indicated the economy continues to rebound despite lingering challenges from the Delta variant. Job openings, which lag other measures by one month, fell to 10.4 million. Declines in demand for leisure and hospitality jobs pulled the openings ba …
As Gaming Industry Levels Up, So Does Its Value to Investors
Many investors are embracing the $160 billion gaming market. The industry is larger than the $43 billion box office, $60 billion video streaming and $19 billion music businesses combined.
Market Commentary: Unemployment Falls to 4.8%; U.S. Trade Deficit Hits Record
For the second consecutive month, the U.S. job market created far fewer jobs than expected. September’s report showed only 194,000 jobs were created, missing expectations by nearly 300,000. A deeper look at the data shows the report wasn’t as bad as indicated by the overall number.
Market Commentary: Equity Markets Have Worst Month of Year; Virus Variants, China Among Key Risks
Equity markets struggled in September as interest rates, inflation concerns, and developments in China all weighed on stock market averages. The S&P 500 surrendered 4.7% as large-cap growth companies led the market lower. Large-cap growth has been the top performing style box since the …
Market Commentary: Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged, Could Begin Tapering of Asset Purchases this Year
The Federal Reserve met last week, and Chair Jay Powell indicated tapering this year is more likely than not. The decision on when to reduce the central bank’s purchases of government-backed bonds will likely be affected by the employment report released a week from Friday. If labor market …
New Bill Includes Proposed Tax Increases for High Earners & Retirement Account Changes
Last week, Democrats on the House Ways and Means Committee released a draft of their proposed tax plan, which includes changes to corporate, personal and other taxes, as well as retirement plans in the United States – though Social Security would be untouched.
Market Commentary: Consumer Demand Stays Strong, Continuing Trend Toward Lower Inflation
Two U.S. economic reports provided reassuring news about the economy. The inflation trend moderated in August. Consumer price inflation (CPI) rose 0.3%, down from 0.5% the previous month and below estimates of a 0.4% increase (Figure 1). Excluding food and energy, prices increased just 0.1%.
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2023 Market Outlook Report
Just because 2022 was a poor year for stocks and bonds doesn’t mean the same will be true for 2023. See why the Carson Research team believes there are reasons to be optimistic in 2023.